Public Relations • Strategic Planning • Lobbying • Coalition Development
Grassroots Coordination • Public Opinion Polling

The Tale of Two Demographics

April 30th, 2013

By: Paul Bentz

My church worships at a high school in the west valley.  It’s a great facility in an excellent location that allows our congregation to connect with the community.  For me, it’s also an opportunity to revisit high school culture and get an understanding of what’s “cool” these days.  Actually, since the kids aren’t there on Sundays, I just get to look at the various posters on the walls and attempt to discern what’s cool.

Anyway, it is class election time for next year and it has been a lot of fun to see where the future of campaigning is going.  The poster that really caught my eye was this one:

For those of you who don’t know, that’s called a hashtag.  Hashtags are metadata “tags” that allow people and programs to search or categorize social media posts based on topics. They are huge on twitter, tumblr, instagram, and are starting to grow in popularity on Facebook.  Hashtags were really nothing as recently as four years ago, and now determining the official “tag” for a press conference is sometimes considered as important as the conference itself.

Social media is now a major part of the campaign toolbox.  As I have said before, today, we wouldn’t launch a campaign without the full Twitter/Facebook/YouTube complement.  Social media is how we interact with media, engage supporters, and how we help people get a better understanding of a candidate or issue.  It can also help build momentum bypassing some of the media gatekeepers of the past.  If high school elections are doing it, it may be time to start paying attention.  If you want to win younger voters in the current campaign environment, you have to do social media well.

However, time for a reality check.  Winning the young voters alone is still not enough.  Over half of the electorate in the State of Arizona is over the age of 50.  At least twenty percent of the electorate is going to feel like this about social media:

Traditional voter outreach including direct mail, phone calls, door-to-door, and yes, even autodials are still critical to a campaign plan.  Older voters still check the mailbox every day.  And yes, most of them still have a home phone.  These trends will change one day, but for now, we still need to communicate in these avenues.

The same goes for a developed understanding of policy and explanations of positions.  High efficacy voters, especially older ones, will take the time to read longer issue platforms.  They want to know the substance behind your 140 character responses.  It doesn’t need to be a manifesto, but you should be able to collect your ideas into thoughts expressed in complete sentences. Also, the persona you represent in social media must be the same one you represent in traditional mediums as well.

Communications are changing all the time.  We must incorporate these new methods while keeping an eye on the demographics you are trying to hit.  One day, hashtags will be passé.  Who knows, Facebook may one day go the way of Myspace.  The key is not to fall in love with the method of communication, but rather, to cultivate messages that can translate across any medium.

Politics Unplugged: Chuck Coughlin

April 29th, 2013

 


Here and Now with Chuck Coughlin

April 24th, 2013

Chuck Coughlin was recently on KJZZ’s Here and Now discussing why Medicaid expansion in Arizona makes sense economically and morally.  He also talked about Brewer’s governing style and why the world of politics often gets dirty.

Click here to listen.

Giving people an opportunity to agree

April 18th, 2013

By: Paul Bentz

A recent study by GROW Elect and Moore Information shared some very interesting insights into registered Latino voters in ten California congressional districts expected to be competitive in the 2014 mid-term elections.  Take a look at their findings (pdf).

It was interesting that immigration was only a piece of the puzzle.  While the information was more specific to California, there are some themes that Republicans in Arizona should take note of – not only in the ongoing efforts to appeal to Latino voters, but to appeal to younger and swing voters as well.

Jobs and the economy

In their survey, 35% of respondents listed jobs and the economy as their number one issue.  This should be in the wheelhouse for Republicans – if they are able to hold on to the issue.  During the last Presidential cycle, it was frustrating that Romney never truly articulated his plan for the economy or emphasized President Obama’s failures.  Lo and behold, the one time Romney did focus on the topic (in the first debate), he gained some traction.

However, this was easily derailed by moving the conversation to a whole host of other topics.  As we have said before, this speaks to the fact that Republicans need to be “for” something, not simply against whatever Democrats propose.  Having an articulated plan for economic recovery would go a long way to appeal to Latino, younger and swing voters.

A party with a plan

In the GROW/Moore survey, it was disappointing that 21% of the respondents simply believe that Republicans are racist, but even more telling were the number of respondents who believe Republicans are out of touch.  They found that 41% of the Latinos tested believed that the GOP didn’t understand the challenges of people of color and 38% believed that Republicans favored the rich.  The “party of the rich” designation is much more troubling because it plays directly into the class warfare that the President engaged in throughout the last cycle.

Republicans cannot allow their opponents to continue to tag them with the label of “angry, rich, old, intolerant, white guy” without responding.  Focusing on people like Senator Marco Rubio and others who have come from humble beginnings is not enough.  All Republicans, even the older white men, need a plan; and that plan must include the theme of tolerance of differences.  Since President Ronald Reagan’s landslide victory in 1980, we have been the party of the Big Tent.

We discussed this in our blog before referring to the messaging challenge surrounding the Occupy Wall Street movement, “Similar to the ‘repeal and replace’ messaging on Obamacare, Republicans must offer solutions of their own instead of just voicing their opposition.  Class warfare can be divisive and powerful – without a strategy, Republicans face being on the losing side of the argument.”

The Republican party of Teddy Roosevelt, the one that busted up economic monopolies and created competitive opportunities for the American economy to grow, needs a rebirth.  The economic tailspin the country and world was put in by our banking industry has still not been fixed.  “Too big to fail” has practically been institutionalized under the Obama administration with nary a peep of Republican opposition.

Supporting education

Speaking of education, the voters tested supported affordable college education and support for vocation education and job training.  Again, these are things that Republicans are traditionally in favor of.  However, instead of focusing on these issues, we see a protracted argument over Common Core and Agenda 21 conspiracy theories.

Governor Brewer has laid out a plan to fund performance education that includes paying for the education we want, not simply the system we have.  It funds common core implementation, an improved data system, career and technical education pathways, and rewarding schools for both achievement and improvement.  From Proposition 100 to her latest budget recommendations, Governor Brewer understands the need for Republicans to support education.  It would be wise for others in the state to follow.

There are some core functions of government that need to be funded.  Education is one of them.  When Proposition 204 was defeated last cycle, it presented a perfect opportunity for Republicans to offer up something of their own.  The Governor’s plan lays a path for Republicans in the future.

More than immigration

Nationally, there has been a lot of discussion about the future of the Republican Party and how the GOP needs to adapt to changes in technology, culture, and perception.  Hip websites, memes, and modern communication strategies can only go so far – you still have to build a coalition of people who agree with you.  In the end, the effort for Republicans to reach out to Latino voters is more than just their position on immigration issues.  It’s about articulating more than just what you oppose; you need to give people an opportunity to agree.

Chuck Coughlin on Sunday Square Off

April 15th, 2013

HighGround’s President Chuck Coughlin appeared as the newsmaker interview on this weekend’s Sunday Square Off with Brahm Resnik.  Check it out.